Statistical Prognosis

Does this research were conducted in the following 3 questions: 1. Peter Arnell shares his opinions and ideas on the topic at hand. your organization generates statistical forecasts? 2. If this is the case your organization uses forecasts without modifying them, as a starting point or a base which is revised and modified by a group of experts, or as a point of reference or comparison against the odds produced by some other means. 3 Your organization keeps track of the level of accuracy of the forecast, about the statistical prognosis, the adjusted forecast or prognosis generated by some other means. 35 Surveys which were answered 94% of respondents claim that your organization generates statistical forecasts, which reinforces the notion that the statistical prognosis is widely used and accepted. Do 1. your organization generates statistical forecasts? Of the total number of respondents only one accepts the prognosis as it is without changing it, while an overwhelming majority used it as a starting point or a base which is revised and amended by experts, close of a quarter of the respondents ensure use the statistical prognosis as a point of comparison against the forecast generated by some other means. 2.

As you use the statistical prognosis? Regardless of how you use the statistical prognosis is important to understand to what extent keeps track of the level of accuracy using statistical forecasts. For those who use the statistical prognosis as a starting point to be adjusted or changed, almost 91 percent tracked him to the level of accuracy over the adjusted forecast, however, only 57% tracked him to the level of accuracy to statistical forecast. This is interesting since adjustments to a statistical prognosis they are seen as an improvement of the prognosis. Comparison of the level of accuracy of these two approaches can give you an idea if the amendments actually improve the prognosis and to what degree. 3. For those using the forecast as a basis of over than forecast is made the follow-up? For those who use the forecast as a point of comparison against the forecast generated by some other means, the monitoring of the level of accuracy of the forecast percentage is less in general.